21 May
Economics:
Canada’s April inflation numbers increased to 0.8% for the month and 1.7% year over year. Canada reported food increased 0.8% in the month and energy prices increased 6.0% (this contrast to the US which strangely enough showed no change in energy prices). Although the year over year numbers are low relative to the other […]
Posted in Base Metals, Ben Bernanke, Economics, Inflation, Oil, Stock Watch, copper, fomc, interest rates by: arnie
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15 May
Economics:
There were lots of weak US economic numbers released today. Industrial production in April fell 0.7%, capacity utilization dropped to 79.7%, the Philly Fed index contracted again with another negative reading of 15.6, the New York Empire manufacturing index fell to negative 3 while the prices paid component posted a large increase to another record […]
Posted in Economics, Employment, Inflation, Inflationary Policy, Manufacturing, Stagflation by: arnie
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14 May
Oil:
There was further clarification on the Iran and its possible reduction in oil output. Iran’s oil is heavier and more sour than others and currently the market is over supplied with heavy sour crude. As a result, Iran is thinking about cutting back production. Too bad, I thought this might have been the beginning […]
Posted in Inflation, Oil by: arnie
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04 May
Should North American investors be investing based on an economic environment that is recessionary or inflationary?
As mentioned previously, the US economy seems to be in a bull market as bad news (such as housing or employment stats) results in rising stock markets. If the market responds to bad news by pushing up the stock […]
Posted in Agriculture, Ben Bernanke, Commodities, Economics, Energy, Fertilizer, Housing, Inflation, Inflationary Policy, Manufacturing, Oil, Portfolio, Stagflation, interest rates, natural gas by: arnie
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02 May
Recession or high inflation?
A stagflation is a combination of a recession and an inflationary environment; the economy is contracting yet inflation is high. If the governments were doing their jobs properly this wouldn’t happen, but since they all want to get re-elected they tried to continuously pump up the economy so that it grows at […]
Posted in Economics, Inflation, Inflationary Policy, Stagflation, interest rates by: arnie
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01 May
Economics Recap:
The US manufacturing index for April was 48.6 same as the previous month. Readings less than 50 means the sector is shrinking, while readings greater than 50 mean the sector is expanding. This is the 3rd reading in a row where the manufacturing sector has shrunk. As mentioned many times before, this isn’t at […]
Posted in Economics, Manufacturing by: arnie
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30 Apr
Interest Rates:
The FOMC did as expected and cut short term interest rates by 25 basis points and as you would expect they also signaled their concern about inflation even though fighting inflation isn’t their priority.
Economics:
Stagflation from the US might be spreading to Canada as monthly GDP in February dropped 0.2% and the industrial producer price […]
Posted in Economics, Inflation, Oil, Portfolio, Stagflation, fomc, interest rates by: arnie
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