Buy Sell and Tell Investments

08 Jul

Is this the recession?

Economics:

Stock markets in North America have been taking a beating recently especially the oil and gas sector. Oil has dropped about $10 in 2 days and oil stocks have sold off to much lower levels than when oil was last back at this level. It’s not just oil and gas stocks that are selling […]

04 May

How to invest during a stagflation (combination of recession and an inflationary environment)

Should North American investors be investing based on an economic environment that is recessionary or inflationary?
As mentioned previously, the US economy seems to be in a bull market as bad news (such as housing or employment stats) results in rising stock markets. If the market responds to bad news by pushing up the stock […]

24 Apr

Bank of Canada forecasting weak growth until 2010

Economics:
The Bank of Canada reported that it doesn’t see credit conditions returning to normal until 2010. Growth in 2008 is expected to be weak but still positive 1.4%; 2009 should see strengthening to 2.4% and 2010 should see growth of 3.3%. Given the weakness forecasted, expect the BOC to continue cutting interest rates at […]

23 Apr

More support for peak oil…at least in Russia

Canadian retail sales decreased 0.7% in Feb, still up 5.7% y/y. This is another sign that Canada could be heading for a rough patch and might be an indication of the more conservative nature of Canadians compared to Americans when it comes to spending.

Commodities:

Weekly oil inventories (all grades) showed a drop of […]

22 Apr

Buying a house with zero down is an excellent investment

Interest Rates:
Bank of Canada did as expected and cut interest rates by 0.50% Analysts are still expecting at least another 25 point cut at the next meeting.
Commodities:
Crude oil was up again setting another record high at $119 a barrel. China reported that Angola overtook Saudi Arabia as the top supplier of oil in the […]

21 Apr

Housing weakness contagion spreads; oil demand keeps growing

Recap:
Another US bank reported poor earnings, as Bank of America’s profits fell 77% on $6 billion of write downs. So far this quarter most of the poor earnings have been restricted to the companies with financial exposures i.e. banks.
Commodities:
Interesting stat by the International Energy Agency (EIA) that shows oil consumption by the emerging markets […]

18 Apr

$5 billion of losses this quarter means buy stocks

Recap:
Wow, another big day in the market with the Dow up 228 and the TSX up 121. Citigroup posted another loss of $5 billion after writing down another $15 billion of assets. Oddly enough the markets were happy with the results, as they were neither as bad as the previous quarter $-10 billion, nor as […]

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