Buy Sell and Tell Investments

by Arnold Joe

15 Jul

More of the same…stagflation that is.

There have been a lot of things happening in the markets recently but it all goes to support the stagflation is here argument. It seems every inflation indicator shows that inflation is getting worse (i.e. higher) regardless of which country is reporting. At the same time, most countries are also reporting weak growth. Today was […]

01 Jul

Time to get defensive: sell stocks and buy calls.

I’ve done a number of trades (see below) in the last few days, as a result of all the trades, my exposure to the oil patch is only the call options on Nexen Inc, as I sold heavily overweighted positions in Petro-Canada positions as well as my Nexen stock positions for gains.
If you’ve been following […]

02 Jun

ISM is weak; unfortunately the inflation component isn’t

Economics:

The US ISM (a manufacturing index) in May showed some slight improvement, but still showed the sector was contracting with a reading of 49.6 up from 48.6…any reading less than 50 indicates contraction. Not surprising, the employment sector had another weak reading of 45.5 and the prices paid component hit an 87% which is […]

04 May

How to invest during a stagflation (combination of recession and an inflationary environment)

Should North American investors be investing based on an economic environment that is recessionary or inflationary?
As mentioned previously, the US economy seems to be in a bull market as bad news (such as housing or employment stats) results in rising stock markets. If the market responds to bad news by pushing up the stock […]

14 Apr

More Bank Losses

Recap:
The TSX was up 55 and the Dow Jones was down 23 after another big bank (Wachovia) reported a quarterly loss and cut its dividend. It’ll be interesting to see how many more write-offs are coming and how many banks report lower earnings or even losses. I expect there will be many more.
Economics:
Retail sales in […]

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