by Arnold Joe
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Should North American investors be investing based on an economic environment that is recessionary or inflationary?
As mentioned previously, the US economy seems to be in a bull market as bad news (such as housing or employment stats) results in rising stock markets. If the market responds to bad news by pushing up the stock […]
Recession or high inflation?
A stagflation is a combination of a recession and an inflationary environment; the economy is contracting yet inflation is high. If the governments were doing their jobs properly this wouldn’t happen, but since they all want to get re-elected they tried to continuously pump up the economy so that it grows at […]
Interest Rates:
The FOMC did as expected and cut short term interest rates by 25 basis points and as you would expect they also signaled their concern about inflation even though fighting inflation isn’t their priority.
Economics:
Stagflation from the US might be spreading to Canada as monthly GDP in February dropped 0.2% and the industrial producer price […]
Housing:
There were more negative housing statistics released this morning. The most reliable measure of housing prices is the S&P Case/Shiller Home Price Index. The index (for 20 cities) reported that y/y prices were down 12.7% for February. This represents the biggest fall since the index was created. For the month, the price decline accelerated to […]
Recap:
Big day in the markets with the Dow and TSX up 256 and 248 respectively. A number of companies reported earnings today: JP Morgan’s earnings were down 50%, IBM’s up 26%, EBay up 22% and Sallie Mae posted its third consecutive loss. The theme today seems to be that the weakness in the market is […]
Recap:
The TSX was up 55 and the Dow Jones was down 23 after another big bank (Wachovia) reported a quarterly loss and cut its dividend. It’ll be interesting to see how many more write-offs are coming and how many banks report lower earnings or even losses. I expect there will be many more.
Economics:
Retail sales in […]
