15 Jul
There have been a lot of things happening in the markets recently but it all goes to support the stagflation is here argument. It seems every inflation indicator shows that inflation is getting worse (i.e. higher) regardless of which country is reporting. At the same time, most countries are also reporting weak growth. Today was […]
Posted in Earnings, Investor implications, Oil, interest rates, options by: arnie
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03 Jul
Oil hit another high of $145 today and oil stocks were down again but the US stock markets (Dow and S&P) were both up. This doesn’t make any sense to me as obviously the oil stocks should be going up (not continuously down) when oil continues to hit record highs. I’m expecting that when companies […]
Posted in Fertilizer, Investor implications, Oil, Stock portfolio change, natural gas, options by: arnie
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01 Jul
I’ve done a number of trades (see below) in the last few days, as a result of all the trades, my exposure to the oil patch is only the call options on Nexen Inc, as I sold heavily overweighted positions in Petro-Canada positions as well as my Nexen stock positions for gains.
If you’ve been following […]
Posted in Investor implications, Oil, Stock portfolio change, natural gas, options by: arnie
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26 Jun
The price of oil increased $5 to $139 a barrel another record, not surprising the stock markets were down; surprisingly oil stocks were down as well. It’s certainly interesting times when the Dow Jones is at a 21 month low and oil is at an all time high. I bought call options on Petro-Canada (T-PCA, […]
Posted in Oil, Stock portfolio change, options by: arnie
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23 Jun
Looks like I was wrong about BCE Inc options being mispriced as the stock did trade higher on Monday but the high was only $38.12 Cdn. I thought BCE would trade between $38-39 Cdn, but instead the trading range was closer much closer to $37. Since the Telecom sector isn’t something I’m familiar […]
Posted in Investor implications, Stock portfolio change, copper, options by: arnie
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22 Jun
Friday was an interesting day for BCE Inc (T-BCE, N-BCE) as the Supreme Court of Canada was scheduled to make a ruling either to allow the take over to proceed or to allow the bond holders appeal to succeed. BCE is the target of a friendly takeover at C$42.75. The ruling was scheduled […]
Posted in Investor implications, Stock portfolio change, options by: arnie
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17 Jun
Shorting opportunities:
I’ve been looking for more shorting opportunities for a while but still haven’t found a really good candidate. Casinos, retail stores and restaurants is where I have been focusing my attention because as the recession in the US worsens, these sectors should get hammered. The problem with shorting these sectors is that the stocks […]
Posted in Housing, Stock portfolio change, hedge, home builder, options, shorting opportunities by: arnie
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